Government shutdown dents US economic growth in 4th quarter
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Editor’s note: This story was updated to add details, context. U.S. gross domestic product grew at an annualized rate of 1.4% in the fourth quarter of 2025, according to advance estimates released Friday by the Bureau of Economic Analysis.
Real gross domestic product saw the softest increase in the last nine years, aside from Covid, when it dropped to -2.1 percent from a year ago.
A simple reason explains why U.S. economic growth seemed to hit a wall in the final three months of the year.
Economists expect that GDP grew at an annualized rate of 2.5% in the fourth quarter, down from 4.4% in the third quarter. The report is scheduled for release at 8:30 a.m. ET. Follow along with our live coverage of the report below.
Trump has revealed economic data before its official release on multiple occasions, raising questions about possible policy violations